Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.515288 0.568056 0.624839 0.690636 0.764967 0.846553 0.943171
2025-10-12 0.434653 0.508606 0.594141 0.701054 0.832033 0.988455 1.191183
2025-10-19 0.386223 0.470073 0.571840 0.705782 0.879417 1.099659 1.404618
2025-10-26 0.351034 0.440720 0.553820 0.709023 0.919785 1.200941 1.612877
2025-11-02 0.325053 0.419014 0.541451 0.715655 0.962080 1.305942 1.836308
2025-11-09 0.296153 0.390091 0.515843 0.700233 0.970191 1.361640 1.992915
2025-11-16 0.279097 0.375286 0.507427 0.706925 1.009015 1.464077 2.231630
2025-11-23 0.260764 0.356944 0.492078 0.701385 1.027935 1.536934 2.431220
2025-11-30 0.247480 0.344579 0.483978 0.705303 1.060815 1.633956 2.682886
2025-12-07 0.232068 0.327889 0.468037 0.695397 1.070069 1.692425 2.873954
2025-12-14 0.218473 0.312902 0.453427 0.686048 1.078768 1.749953 3.070053
2025-12-21 0.202457 0.293217 0.430224 0.660849 1.058136 1.753611 3.163279
2025-12-28 0.196594 0.288907 0.430893 0.675239 1.107606 1.889245 3.539619
2026-01-04 0.190246 0.283431 0.429308 0.685667 1.151087 2.019053 3.926490
2026-01-11 0.183239 0.276420 0.424664 0.690263 1.184085 2.132250 4.296577
2026-01-18 0.176519 0.269434 0.419525 0.693418 1.214423 2.243368 4.681030
2026-01-25 0.170922 0.263926 0.416439 0.699875 1.251481 2.372273 5.130257
2026-02-01 0.161966 0.252334 0.402260 0.684861 1.244745 2.408125 5.358811
2026-02-08 0.157301 0.247697 0.399775 0.691376 1.281748 2.542573 5.862368
2026-02-15 0.151023 0.239967 0.391385 0.685982 1.293615 2.622436 6.237718
2026-02-22 0.146602 0.235195 0.387937 0.689796 1.325044 2.750594 6.771433
2026-03-01 0.140448 0.227092 0.378022 0.680152 1.326582 2.808647 7.117279
2026-03-08 0.134759 0.219543 0.368712 0.671050 1.328445 2.867673 7.478611